Mariners Should not Overlook About Justin Dunn In 2022 Rotation

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Justin Dunn
(Picture by Alika Jenner/Getty Pictures)


The 2021 season was an thrilling one for the Seattle Mariners.

Though the group missed the playoffs, it was a enjoyable trip, and there have been loads of optimistic developments alongside the way in which.

The Mariners gained 90 video games and proved to the league that they have to be taken critically going ahead.

Of us in Seattle are hoping that 2022 would be the 12 months through which the Mariners finish their prolonged playoff drought, and if the dominoes fall the suitable approach, which may simply occur.

Earlier than the MLB lockout went into impact, the Mariners made some notable splashes, with the most important one being a deal for lefty ace Robbie Ray.

Seattle had a mediocre rotation within the 2021 season (4.30 workers ERA), however with Ray within the image, 2022 may very well be a distinct story.

Behind Ray, the Mariners will possible give rotation spots to Logan Gilbert, Chris Flexen, Marco Gonzales.

That makes 4 starters, however what a few fifth?

That’s the place Justin Dunn ought to enter the dialog.


Dunn Deserves To Begin The Season In The Rotation

Dunn’s time within the majors hasn’t been flawless since his 2019 debut, however after his 2021 marketing campaign, it’s protected to say he’s trending in the suitable course.

Over his first 14 profession begins (which got here throughout the 2019 and 2020 seasons), he pitched to a 4.13 ERA, 6.44 FIP and 6.9 BB/9.

In 2021, he confirmed indicators of enchancment in all just about each division, together with the classes proven above.

For starters, he pitched to a strong 3.75 ERA.

He additionally introduced his FIP all the way down to 4.74 and took a step ahead along with his command, issuing nearly two fewer walks per 9 innings than he did over the primary two seasons of his profession.

On prime of all of that, his common fastball velocity obtained a pleasant bump.

For sure, that’s an incredible signal.

Moreover, Dunn made 11 begins within the 2021 season and allowed three runs or fewer in 10 of them.

That claims lots about his capacity to maintain his group in video games.

Sadly, Dunn’s 2021 marketing campaign was lower quick as a consequence of damage, however earlier than that occurred, he confirmed the Mariners loads of good issues.

He’s undoubtedly taking main strides ahead as his profession progresses, and Seattle shouldn’t ignore that.

The Boston Faculty product is simply 26 years outdated and is simply getting began on the MLB degree.

The Mariners have to be affected person with him earlier than making a rash choice about what his position needs to be.

When all is alleged and accomplished, perhaps his long-term match gained’t be as a starter, nevertheless it’s too early to say that now.

He wants extra time within the rotation.


How Does A Ray/Gilbert/Flexen/Gonzales/Dunn Employees Look On Paper?

If the Mariners do resolve to place Dunn of their rotation to start out the 2022 season, their workers will possible look one thing like this (in no specific order):

  • Ray
  • Gilbert
  • Flexen
  • Gonzales
  • Dunn

For a group with playoff aspirations, would that workers have the ability to get the job accomplished over the course of a 162-game common season?

Let’s check out how every participant carried out in 2021.

  • Ray: 2.84 ERA, 154 ERA+, 3.69 FIP, 1.05 WHIP (gained AL Cy Younger)
  • Gilbert: 4.68 ERA, 89 ERA+, 3.73 FIP, 1.17 FIP (as a rookie)
  • Flexen: 3.61 ERA, 115 ERA+, 3.89 FIP, 1.25 WHIP
  • Gonzales: 3.96 ERA, 105 ERA+, 5.28 FIP, 1.17 WHIP
  • Dunn: 3.75 ERA, 111 ERA+, 4.74 FIP, 1.31 WHIP

Whereas there are definitely extra intimating rotations within the majors, that five-man workers doesn’t look too shabby in any respect.

There are some wild playing cards in there, however whenever you’re a corporation exiting a rebuild, there all the time might be.

The Mariners might be an fascinating group to look at in 2022.

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