The UFC returns to the APEX this weekend with a card that whereas slipping slightly below the radar, options among the greatest younger abilities the promotion has to supply and a essential occasion that’s positive to carry fireworks.
All bets featured can be found at BetMGM.
Arman Tsarukyan vs Joel Alvarez
In one of the intriguing potential matchups between contenders within the at all times thrilling 155lbs division, #13 Light-weight Arman Tsarukyan will put his UFC rating on the road in opposition to Spanish prospect Joel Alvarez.
Regardless of each fighters possessing comparable resumes on paper, Tsarukyan enters the combat as a sizeable favorite primarily resulting from his expertise competing within the Octagon with confirmed UFC-level competitors. The Armenian made a right away affect on the UFC brass throughout his debut when he had a back-and-forth battle with Saturday’s essential occasion fighter, Islam Makhachev, in the end discovering himself on the dropping finish of a aggressive resolution.
Since then, Tsarukyan has rebounded with 4 consecutive victories, together with a first-round TKO over Christos Giagos again in September. Curiously, Tsarukyan’s Octagon bow is the one time he has not been the betting favorite since his UFC debut:
Arman Tsarukyan Betting Historical past:
UFC FN 149: Defeated by Islam Makhachev (+325)
UFC 240: Defeated Olivier Aubin-Mercier (-160)
UFC FN 172: Defeated Davi Ramos (-230)
UFC 257: Defeated Matt Frevola (-650)
UFC FN 192: Defeated Christos Giagos (-800)
UFC FN 202: Faces Joel Alvarez (-175)
Regardless of being the betting underdog, Joel Alvarez will not be the type of fighter to be dominated out. Very like Tsarukyan, Alvarez misplaced his UFC debut however has since gone undefeated with wins over the likes of Joe Duffy and Thiago Moises.
Alvarez has an actual shot at pulling off the upset on Saturday evening, however it will be smart to carry off putting your bets till after the weigh-ins are over. The Spaniard is a large light-weight standing 6 foot 3 inches, and has didn’t make the 156lbs non-title combat restrict in his final two UFC appearances. Nevertheless, ought to Alvarez come into the combat this weekend in high situation, we might effectively have a brand new contender at light-weight on our arms.
Our Decide: Joel Alvarez by TKO
Bobby Inexperienced vs Islam Makhachev
Having made his skilled debut again in 2008 and with over 40 fights on his document, there are few issues that Bobby Inexperienced hasn’t performed in his storied profession. In his 9 12 months stint with the UFC Inexperienced has been one of the reliable abilities within the light-weight division, however by no means has he confronted a problem fairly like this one…
With authentic headliner Beniel Dariush injured simply ten days earlier than the combat, Inexperienced will step in to face the person that some are claiming is already deserving of the title of the most effective light-weight MMA fighter on the planet. Nevertheless, it is not the primary time Inexperienced has discovered himself an underdog within the Octagon.
Inexperienced’s UFC Document as an Underdog:
- UFC 156: Defeated Jacob Volkmann (+270)
- UFC on Fox 9: Defeated Pat Healy (+170)
- UFC on Fox 12: Defeated Josh Thompson (+180)
- UFC 199: Defeated by Dustin Poirier (+160)
- UFC on Fox 24: Defeated by Rashid Magomedov (+180)
- UFC 216: Drew with Lando Vannata (+170)
- UFC on Fox 31: Defeated by Drakkar Shut (+175)
- UFC FN 164: Defeated by Francisco Trinaldo (+120)
- UFC FN 173: Defeated Lando Vanatta (+150)
- UFC 265: Defeated by Rafael Fiziev (+125)
Complete UFC document as an underdog: 4 wins, 5 losses, 1 draw.
At +500 on BetMGM, Inexperienced will not be solely the largest underdog to characteristic on this weekend’s card however additionally it is the largest line of his lengthy UFC profession.
However why is Inexperienced such an underdog?
Coaching out of the American Kickboxing Academy along with his longtime coaching accomplice and mentor Khabib Nurmagomedov, Islam Makhachev has already proved himself contained in the Octagon as one of many hardest outs at 155lbs.
Possessing a dominating wrestling offence mixed with devastating submission skills Makhachev has been quietly establishing himself as one of the thrilling contenders within the talent-stacked UFC light-weight division.
Although comparisons are sometimes drawn between Makhachev and the previous UFC Light-weight Champion Nurmagomedov, Islam possesses a essentially totally different strategy to combating than his fellow countryman. In contrast to Khabib, Islam will not be as relentless in his pursuit of the takedown/submission, and seems to be extra comfy at placing distance than Nurmagomedov was till the latter phases of his skilled profession.
The opposite issue to think about when making an attempt to evaluate Inexperienced’s probabilities in Saturday’s essential occasion is the quick time wherein he has needed to put together for his first UFC essential occasion. Sometimes, competing on the highest ranges with out the luxurious of a full coaching camp can show to be disastrous, however not at all times…
UFC Quick Discover Triumphs:
- 17 Days: Michael Bisping Defeated Luke Rockhold (+575)
- 13 Days: Justin Gaethje Defeated Tony Ferguson (+175)
- 11 Days: Nate Diaz Defeated Conor McGregor (+375)
- 11 Days: Chris Weidman Defeated Damien Maia (-145)
- 5 Days: Khama Worthy Defeated Devonte Smith (+775)
For Inexperienced to emerge victorious on Saturday evening he might want to, firstly, do every thing inside his energy to keep away from Makhachev having the ability to take him down early within the first spherical. In fact, stopping a wrestler the calibre of Makhachev is not any simple activity, however Inexperienced can have extra success if he can depend on his ringcraft and motion to keep away from makes an attempt totally fairly than making an attempt to sprawl on one of many Russian’s takedown makes an attempt.
So, whereas placing cash on Inexperienced is advisable as an out of doors shot or as a solution to actually increase your parlay, in the end the chances are as they’re for a purpose. So whereas Inexperienced hasn’t been submitted in over a decade, the good cash must go on Makhachev utilising his superior grappling expertise to pull the combat to the mat and to drive a faucet out of Inexperienced within the early rounds.
Our Decide: Islam Makhachev by submission
Lengthy-suffering Hull Metropolis fan, fight sports activities historical past aficionado and world famend champion of the church of Chael Sonnen.